The Case of Flat AAPL!

Since AAPL chart study generated much interest on this blog and on Twitter, let us see how the charts explain the relative flatness of AAPL price despite recent up days for the market. 

In the Intraday chart at the close yesterday (7/26), notice that the dominant Black oscillator has recently finished its downward move. 
The dominant Blue (bottom right chart) is also moving down. The price is indicated in the bottom left chart.

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But such down cycles should have brought the price down. The reason for the flatness can be seen when we look at the End-of-Day chart below. 
The dominant Pink is clearly up (top left). It makes sense that the fastest oscillators on the End-of-Day charts (top right) mirror the movement for the Intraday oscillators.

Aapldaily

Those who have been following the blog would have noticed the Pink-Black crossing point in the graph above. 
The upward crossing point coupled with the upward cycle of Black in the Intraday charts gave us the nice little 1.5% upward pop in AAPL price this morning (7/27) even as NASDAQ Composite stays flat at 0.2%!

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Charts As The Market Soars!

Markets have soared today. That gives us a chance to look at a few charts of NASDAQ Composite for some quick analysis.
First consider the the intraday charts for the composite (COMP) at close yesterday (7/21) below.
Notice the crossing point indicated in the bottom right chart.
We have already seen the importance of crossing points in a previous blog here: http://orthochronos.posterous.com/crossing-point-of-indicators.
With the dominant daily residue (gray) and Red moving upwards, the upside open today was not much of  a surprise. In our definition, "dominance" is a combination of magnitude and correlation. Of course, this being the earnings season all the movements tend to be amplified!

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Now consider the COMP chart at open today. As we saw in the AAPL charts yesterday (http://orthochronos.posterous.com/aapl-for-the-day), the impact of price movement at open reflects first on the fastest oscillators.

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However, the transfer of momentum to the Mid Pink Oscillator and the Slower Oscillators is very interesting and in contrast to what happened in the case of AAPL.
We can see that the initial upward motion of fastest oscillators is reflected in the Pink, Red and Blue as we reach noon today (7/22). Notice also how the daily residue (gray) in the bottom right has moved.

Compnoon722

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AAPL For The Day!

Before getting to the earnings related chart study of Apple (AAPL), take a look at the end-of-day chart from yesterday (7/20) for NASDAQ Composite below. The downward crossing point of the dominant Pink and Black is clearly seen. The fast oscillators however have some upside, but that is clearly not going to receive any support from the slower oscillators. So today, as expected, we had a nice pop up at open followed by a slide. Remember that price is the sum of all the oscillators and indicators. Thus more in agreement they are, lower the risk of the trade and greater the price change. Our counter intuitive "low risk, high reward" system!
 
Endofday720comp

AAPL Earnings

AAPL announced earnings after close yesterday (7/19). Whenever such a fundamental company event happens, it is not safe to depend completely on technical indicators. That is why we suggest staying away from particular stocks during the couple of days around their announcements, so that the oscillators get a chance to settle back into rhythm after possible upheaval in price. Nevertheless it is educational to look at the charts around earnings time.
Check out the end-of-day chart of AAPL yesterday at close before the announcement. The dominant oscillators are turning upwards and the fast oscillators have very low magnitude comparatively.

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After the earnings announcement yesterday, it was clear that the stock would pop this morning. The upward jolt in the price is captured by the fastest intraday oscillators in the intraday chart below from the open today (7/21).

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We can see that some of the momentum in the price has also transferred to the Pink and Black oscillators. However, the oscillators have settled down by 10:30 as the chart below shows.

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And by the afternoon, it is clear that the impact of the earnings was captured by the fast oscillators and distributed somewhat to the Pink and Black oscillators, but soon enough all of them were steadily moving along their consistent paths! The chart below is from 3:30pm as indicated.

Aapl330

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